Well, you cannot honestly accuse me of burying the lede, but I will admit that the posts here are getting a touch repetitive.
In any case, another graph to add to the list:
In 2015, Utah revoked all of 1008 licenses, and had 212,349 active permits in residents’ hands at the end of the year.
Given that, Utah’s “failure rate” with permits was approximately 0.475%. On the other hand, in 2015, Utah had 3,216 violent and property crimes per 100,000 residents.
Based on those numbers, it is entirely rational to conclude that an average Utah Concealed Firearm Permit holder is at least six times less likely to break a significant law than an “average” Utahn.
I am sure that surprises… no one.
I am very thankful that so many states make a point of publishing generic data regarding their license to carry programs.
That said, here’s another image to add to the pile:
Yes, Texas did, in fact, revoke some permits in 2015. But are you starting to see a pattern for the relative numbers?
Regardless, in 2015, Texas revoked a grand total of 880 licenses. On the other hand, there were 937,419 licenses active that year.
Once you run the numbers, Texas had a failure rate of 0.094% with their Licenses to Carry a Handgun.
Comparatively, Texas had a total violent and property crime rate in 2015 of approximately 3243.6 per 100,000 people.
So, in a conclusion that surprises absolutely no one, Texas License to Carry Handgun holders are at least 30 times less likely to break a significant law than an “average” Texan.
At this point, I do not think anyone would blame you for noticing a trend.
This post is going to be a little different than its predecessor, simply because Tennessee does not track the total number of Handgun Carry Permits they have issued over time; however, the premise is still the same.
Again, you will have to take my word that yes, some permits were revoked in 2015. That year, 529,661 people had active, current HCPs in Tennessee, while only 291 were revoked.
In other words, Tennessee enjoyed a 0.055% failure rate with their Handgun Carry Permit holders.
On the other hand, Tennessee had a total violent and property crime rate of approximately 3,548.3 per 100,000 people in 2015.
In other words, it is entirely reasonable to say that, in 2015, Handgun Carry Permit holders were over 60 times less likely to break a major law than “average” Tennesseans.
You know, it is starting to look like all the perseverating hysteria about background-checked, trained, law-abiding Americans peacefully carrying firearms in public is… completely groundless.
First, allow me to present the pretty picture for today’s post:
You might have to take my word for it, but there really is a bar to go with “CWFLs Revoked and not Reinstated”. The “problem”, so to speak, is a matter of scale.
From 01OCT87 to 31MAR17, Florida has issued 3,518,256 Concealed Weapon or Firearm Licenses – their version of a “concealed carry permit”. As of 31MAR17, 1,747,635 of those licenses are still active. Likewise, as of that date, 11,916 permits had been revoked, but 1,048 of those revoked have been reinstated leaving a total “revoked but not reinstated” of 10,868.
In other words, out of the literally millions of permits that Florida has issued over the past almost-30 years, they have had a failure rate of only 0.309%.
On the other hand, in 2015, the total violent and property crime rate (since any felony alone is sufficient to get a license revoked, not just a violent crime) in Florida was 3,275.1 per 100,000 people.
Given that the total violent and property crime rate in 1988 were 8,937.6 per 100,000 people, it is entirely reasonable to state that Florida Concealed Weapon or Firearm License holders are at least 10 times less likely to break a serious law than “average” Floridians.